I will surprise some people here, but I think this is much closer than it looks. Ashley has come on leaps and bounds in recent series and has developed a real ability to pressurise batsman, sometime to the detriment of sportsmanship but I couldn't care less about that. I saw him at Trent bridge last year against the New Zealanders and him and Harmison pinned them down for 90 minutes and turned the match.
And lets be honest we have seen everything Shane Warne has got, if we haven't worked that one yet we are really in trouble. The key here might be the second spinners which I think may give Australia the advantage as Gareth Batty is totally unproven at this level.
But being positive I am going to call this even, on the basis that Giles will get more runs with the bat than Warne.
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